Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Oklahoma Sooners vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 150.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a04853aeab14402ca82774ef823f4496d5843cec5e041e593de3f6b6e2de366
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 52c | 28,702$14,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,902.4 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 6,670$3,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,265.66 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Under | 48c | 2,688$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 49c | 2,274$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.08 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 48c | 2,060$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.8 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Under | 48c | 1,563$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x778d…cbe2backed Under | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 48c | 990$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.2 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 48c | 833.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 739.89$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.78 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 49c | 612.65$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 49c | 448.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 287.22$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.87 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 52c | 238.1$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.12 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Under | 49c | 210.2$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Under | 49c | 205$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 49c | 103.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c1…6939backed Under | 56c | 53.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Over | 44c | 48.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 36.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…6204backed Under | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 48c | 25.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x81bb…8544backed Under | 48c | 24.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 23.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 150.5this page
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. South Carolina GamecocksSouth Carolina Gamecocks won
- Oklahoma Sooners vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 149.5Over won
- Spread: South Carolina Gamecocks (-1.5)South Carolina Gamecocks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.