Champions League · resolved market
FK Vardar Skopje vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a39f3b1705d687c948680d3e9de8df7db9d253dda21c10a834e8f92b59a72e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 7 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 11c | 2,118$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.24 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed Over | 2c | 1,200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 70c | 516.12$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.12 | 89 | 71.9%64 W · 25 L | +12.4wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae3…d88abacked Under | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.51per pick | 16cpaid | +3,312%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Over | 6c | 305$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Over | 16c | 103$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 74c | 50.16$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FK Vardar Skopje vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 3.5this page
- FK Vardar Skopje vs. Kuopion PS: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FK Vardar Skopje vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 0.5Over won
- FK Vardar Skopje vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 1.5Over won
- FK Vardar Skopje vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 2.5Under won
- FK Vardar Skopje vs. Kuopion PS: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FK Vardar Skopje (-1.5)Kuopion PS won
- Spread: Kuopion PS (-1.5)Kuopion PS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.