Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a5ce76464a7598b86b50df28615e69784f6d8dad3f2a49fb495f06b66ae072d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,369
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,369 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4229…a471backed Over | 35c | 434$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0d…80b5backed Under | 65c | 431$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…4e28backed Under | 64c | 407$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf4…209cbacked Over | 36c | 380$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec0…798bbacked Over | 35c | 373$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c43…e2a4backed Over | 37c | 347$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a43…c867backed Over | 37c | 330$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36de…6b2bbacked Over | 36c | 330$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6e…f83dbacked Over | 36c | 329$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced9…ff9dbacked Over | 36c | 319$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4f…d985backed Over | 36c | 318$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…2763backed Over | 36c | 316$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…62edbacked Under | 63c | 312$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…7009backed Over | 35c | 308$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec3…0c76backed Under | 64c | 307$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e5…1fa9backed Over | 36c | 307$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x600b…4c0bbacked Under | 64c | 303$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b3…4468backed Under | 63c | 303$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…809dbacked Over | 36c | 301$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f42…2c90backed Under | 64c | 301$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e59…a24abacked Under | 65c | 293$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 34c | 290$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.4 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc1…9452backed Under | 64c | 285$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff9…2d02backed Under | 64c | 282$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa771…c281backed Under | 64c | 281$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd85f…7f3abacked Under | 63c | 273$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd558…0eacbacked Over | 36c | 271$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 68c | 270.15$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.66 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a38…6e55backed Under | 64c | 266$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f83…8390backed Under | 63c | 260$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f5…3905backed Over | 37c | 258$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…7f00backed Over | 36c | 253$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbaa…c06fbacked Under | 64c | 253$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce7…33ecbacked Over | 37c | 245$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…930cbacked Under | 64c | 245$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9205…383cbacked Over | 36c | 240$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1693…e5ebbacked Under | 65c | 233$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abb…cf1cbacked Under | 64c | 223$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0a…3976backed Over | 36c | 222$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb443…ab0fbacked Under | 64c | 214$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eff…69d2backed Over | 37c | 210$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…72d4backed Over | 36c | 199$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc51…d99abacked Under | 65c | 187$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc6…3442backed Over | 37c | 184$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 29c | 178$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.84 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30b5…4330backed Under | 63c | 177$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2970…f89bbacked Under | 63c | 174$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…e0c6backed Under | 63c | 166$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677c…1da5backed Under | 65c | 164$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf335…2888backed Under | 64c | 164$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Under | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Under | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | -13.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Under | 66c | 84.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.91 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Over | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 65c | 69.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x936c…5523backed Over | 34c | 63.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +195.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 66c | 36.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 65c | 26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Barça eSports (+1.5)Barça eSports won
- LoL: Barça eSports vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group AKarmine Corp Blue won
- LoL: Barça eSports vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp Blue won
- LoL: Barça eSports vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 WinnerBarça eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.