Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Barça eSports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59d1d5fd5d555701a1d340b9dc593d9ae97c8b49194d9175163c90e430ec9010
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barça eSportsof Karmine Corp Blue, Barça eSports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,267
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32c4…e64ebacked Barça eSports | 40c | 470$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9b…fa85backed Barça eSports | 40c | 440$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…14e6backed Barça eSports | 40c | 410$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f8…7678backed Barça eSports | 31c | 343$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5826…3b73backed Barça eSports | 31c | 338$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +132.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10a4…c178backed Barça eSports | 31c | 326$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30b5…4330backed Karmine Corp Blue | 60c | 280$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7506…22f6backed Karmine Corp Blue | 69c | 271$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd379…19dbbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 69c | 268$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78e6…71d5backed Karmine Corp Blue | 60c | 266$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b8…616ebacked Barça eSports | 31c | 264$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a4…7f85backed Karmine Corp Blue | 69c | 261$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d9…1fd3backed Karmine Corp Blue | 60c | 260$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c11…3043backed Karmine Corp Blue | 69c | 250$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc900…7266backed Barça eSports | 31c | 239$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…c658backed Karmine Corp Blue | 69c | 234$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee9…3726backed Barça eSports | 31c | 230$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…66b6backed Karmine Corp Blue | 69c | 223$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1048…208abacked Karmine Corp Blue | 69c | 208$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9abf…a9fabacked Karmine Corp Blue | 69c | 208$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec52…7ca1backed Karmine Corp Blue | 69c | 197$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf068…dc96backed Karmine Corp Blue | 60c | 185$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x678d…519fbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 69c | 182$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bae…0f23backed Karmine Corp Blue | 60c | 181$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4289…484dbacked Barça eSports | 31c | 180$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0071…3d98backed Karmine Corp Blue | 69c | 176$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x696c…cddfbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 69c | 174$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cf…5a6ebacked Barça eSports | 31c | 168$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258b…4ae2backed Barça eSports | 31c | 165$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x238c…0f7abacked Karmine Corp Blue | 69c | 163$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0d…bcebbacked Barça eSports | 31c | 156$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x440f…b6f0backed Karmine Corp Blue | 69c | 155$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…56b4backed Karmine Corp Blue | 69c | 153$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x821b…c3b3backed Karmine Corp Blue | 69c | 152$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0481…595dbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 60c | 148$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Barça eSports | 39c | 128.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.46 | 326 | 50.3%164 W · 162 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e3…1a41backed Barça eSports | 31c | 127$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5175…e0abbacked Barça eSports | 31c | 125$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +138.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Karmine Corp Blue | 26c | 115.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e6…6ac6backed Barça eSports | 31c | 110$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…79d9backed Barça eSports | 31c | 109$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0baa…5d15backed Barça eSports | 31c | 108$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6c…e6f3backed Barça eSports | 31c | 103$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +132.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41d1…1ccdbacked Barça eSports | 31c | 97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7e…9d48backed Barça eSports | 31c | 87$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Barça eSports | 49c | 82.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc834…685fbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 46c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd5…8f67backed Karmine Corp Blue | 63c | 31.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Karmine Corp Blue | 61c | 28.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…6f4ebacked Karmine Corp Blue | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 244 | 53.3%130 W · 114 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Karmine Corp Blue | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Barça eSports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Barça eSports vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group AKarmine Corp Blue won
- LoL: Barça eSports vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp Blue won
- LoL: Barça eSports vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 WinnerBarça eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.