Tennis · resolved market
ITF Brisbane: Moerani Bouzige vs Yuki Mochizuki
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a709048b9f3b1d51ea5b5be2ce3914e53c605fae79a73a4524cdd0bdc6dc2b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Moerani Bouzigeof Moerani Bouzige, Yuki Mochizuki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Moerani Bouzige | 66c | 4,555$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.76 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yuki Mochizuki | 33c | 4,155$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.88 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yuki Mochizuki | 30c | 581.86$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.19 | 160 | 29.4%47 W · 113 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Yuki Mochizuki | 35c | 297.51$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.13 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…430ebacked Yuki Mochizuki | 10c | 124.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Moerani Bouzige | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yuki Mochizuki | 63c | 44.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec8…4bedbacked Yuki Mochizuki | 36c | 37.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14fc…d8f4backed Yuki Mochizuki | 36c | 37.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Yuki Mochizuki | 37c | 37.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Moerani Bouzige | 69c | 37.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Yuki Mochizuki | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 617 | 55.9%345 W · 272 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Moerani Bouzige | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Moerani Bouzige | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.