Cricket · resolved market
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Lancashire vs Durham
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a81327af33fbdbb072b8b44895a03cddc8ea189607f95ccdcdfef2c4e346a7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Durhamof Lancashire, Durham
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e88…b235backed Durham | 68c | 8,768$5,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,805.65 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Lancashire | 32c | 5,843$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,877.43 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Lancashire | 3c | 2,741$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.65 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…d3b2backed Lancashire | 21c | 2,494$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.53 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…4a04backed Lancashire | 12c | 2,001$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.09 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Durham | 60c | 1,645$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.06 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Lancashire | 41c | 1,244$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.04 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Lancashire | 11c | 941.01$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.02 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Durham | 60c | 822.59$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.04 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Durham | 61c | 815.58$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.02 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Durham | 78c | 318.63$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.15 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Lancashire | 40c | 258.88$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.55 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Lancashire | 21c | 197.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5817…987dbacked Lancashire | 43c | 139.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Lancashire | 37c | 139.49$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.61 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…e4a9backed Durham | 57c | 133.67$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.48 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Durham | 80c | 99.57$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Durham | 76c | 98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 271 | 41.3%112 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Lancashire | 21c | 88.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Lancashire | 41c | 74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf390…ab3dbacked Lancashire | 40c | 73.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Lancashire | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Lancashire | 27c | 68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a4…99d0backed Durham | 66c | 66.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Durham | 79c | 65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5f…e612backed Lancashire | 17c | 64.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lancashire | 40c | 60.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Lancashire | 39c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Lancashire | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…a2d2backed Durham | 65c | 42.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 94 | 64.9%61 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Durham | 80c | 41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Durham | 60c | 32.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.