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Europa Conference League · resolved market

Spread: Inter Club d'Escaldes (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Inter Club d'Escaldesof Inter Club d'Escaldes, FC Flora
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,518
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,709

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,518 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Inter Club d'Escaldes22c2,452$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,913.312,73840.2%1,100 W · 1,638 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked FC Flora77c1,051$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.1241645.9%191 W · 225 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed FC Flora78c960.99$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.571,31950.8%670 W · 649 L+33.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed FC Flora53c689.95$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.691,89538.7%734 W · 1,161 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Inter Club d'Escaldes20c412$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.647342.1%199 W · 274 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed FC Flora79c380.77$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.722,79534.8%973 W · 1,822 L-86.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Inter Club d'Escaldes45c230$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.54755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Inter Club d'Escaldes48c228.46$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.723,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked FC Flora79c192$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511,04148%500 W · 541 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed FC Flora78c160$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.81,19947.5%569 W · 630 L-5.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked Inter Club d'Escaldes48c154.79$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.491266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+58.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Inter Club d'Escaldes22c149.96$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9763249.1%310 W · 322 L+2.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Inter Club d'Escaldes20c111.72$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.1165549.8%326 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed FC Flora77c84.94$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.441245.6%188 W · 224 L+25.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed FC Flora78c77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.951,79354.8%983 W · 810 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed FC Flora74c76.12$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.642957.1%245 W · 184 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed FC Flora78c57$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.462,43337.4%909 W · 1,524 L-9.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed FC Flora78c26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2876356.1%428 W · 335 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.