Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Travoman Team vs Daxak Team - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b4887bcfa7fa400c67e386af9c777d683f6fabacbe53db312aadb148aa52fb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Travoman Teamof Travoman Team, Daxak Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,098
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc1de…21f5backed Daxak Team | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.94 | 304 | 52.3%159 W · 145 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Travoman Team | 47c | 4,500$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Travoman Team | 47c | 1,510$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.24 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Travoman Team | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Travoman Team | 48c | 1,048$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.28 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a8…8b4dbacked Daxak Team | 52c | 934.6$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.99 | 159 | 57.9%92 W · 67 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…f750backed Travoman Team | 47c | 627.72$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.69 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Travoman Team | 48c | 258.75$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.83 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked Travoman Team | 47c | 254.34$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.9 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x667c…9293backed Travoman Team | 47c | 201.21$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.64 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Daxak Team | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed Travoman Team | 47c | 194.25$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.05 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Travoman Team | 57c | 178.63$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.97 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1efb…dd8abacked Travoman Team | 47c | 150.06$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…89ebbacked Travoman Team | 77c | 122$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Travoman Team | 47c | 121.05$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.15 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a8…6358backed Daxak Team | 23c | 88.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Travoman Team | 64c | 68.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Daxak Team | 59c | 68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a53…71a3backed Travoman Team | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 185 | 62.7%116 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…8df6backed Daxak Team | 57c | 52.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Travoman Team | 47c | 49.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 125 | 59.2%74 W · 51 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc15f…223dbacked Travoman Team | 43c | 43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Travoman Team | 46c | 41.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…9845backed Daxak Team | 36c | 41.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d8…c931backed Daxak Team | 59c | 38.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Travoman Team | 46c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd181…6a2bbacked Travoman Team | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Travoman Team | 47c | 21.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Travoman Team vs Daxak Team - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Travoman Team vs Daxak Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle PlayoffsTravoman Team won
- Dota 2: Travoman Team vs Daxak Team - Game 2 WinnerTravoman Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.