Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Travoman Team vs Daxak Team - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0078e453daf0688aca5f05af3276550f9904f7774172608c27513556181d4cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Travoman Teamof Travoman Team, Daxak Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,510
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,510 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Travoman Team | 62c | 1,551$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.2 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…bd17backed Daxak Team | 37c | 540.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x667c…9293backed Daxak Team | 38c | 265.79$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Daxak Team | 38c | 249.92$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.77 | 1,914 | 47.6%911 W · 1,003 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f30…8df6backed Daxak Team | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Daxak Team | 37c | 98.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 1,723 | 41.3%711 W · 1,012 L | -43.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc15f…223dbacked Daxak Team | 38c | 84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Daxak Team | 38c | 57.89$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Daxak Team | 37c | 53.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 340 | 41.2%140 W · 200 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a8…6358backed Daxak Team | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Daxak Team | 38c | 51.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 126 | 58.7%74 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Travoman Team | 57c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Daxak Team | 38c | 27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Travoman Team | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 319 | 50.8%162 W · 157 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Travoman Team vs Daxak Team - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Travoman Team vs Daxak Team (BO3) - BetBoom Streamers Battle PlayoffsTravoman Team won
- Dota 2: Travoman Team vs Daxak Team - Game 1 WinnerTravoman Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.