TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Fordham Rams vs. La Salle Explorers: O/U 132.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,075

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,075 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ec1…057cbacked Under54c7,278$3,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,965.68957.3%51 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c2b…2575backed Under54c3,563$1,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,920.5260949.8%303 W · 306 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over46c1,659$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.4312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Under53c1,653$876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$875.8516755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over45c1,013$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.095,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Over47c802.94$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.5616054.4%87 W · 73 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dd0…ee95backed Over47c464$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.925757.9%33 W · 24 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Over47c326.13$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.8533438.9%130 W · 204 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over46c265.07$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.372,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Under54c184.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.577646.1%35 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Over47c149.38$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3720452.9%108 W · 96 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over47c139.77$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.0892246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over48c96.27$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.0678052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Over47c94.17$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.9175447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over46c75.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6850548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Over47c74.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.473342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over47c74.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.479045.6%41 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over47c63.54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6858652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9cf…8a4fbacked Over47c63.27$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.531668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+46.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Under53c61.65$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.726550.6%134 W · 131 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over47c51.7$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6160954.5%332 W · 277 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4855…6a41backed Under53c46.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7832652.8%172 W · 154 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Under54c39.83$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5162753%332 W · 295 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Over46c37.04$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2016051.3%82 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005b…2947backed Under54c36.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.831060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd96c…733cbacked Under53c36.27$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2213448.5%65 W · 69 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under43c30.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.263,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Over57c30.58$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.159056.7%51 W · 39 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+31.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over46c28.78$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.541,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff5…7228backed Under55c27.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Over48c21.81$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3425837.6%97 W · 161 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over46c21.74$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7482846.1%382 W · 446 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.