Fifa International · resolved market
Will Andorra vs. Albania end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b5adf4643a34d37c56c87499c8e4c94bb9177f7dbbd4b7f97bb0eb7456da0af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 34c | 1,759$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.32 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 1,651$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.7 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.21 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 7c | 700$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 37c | 463.08$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.91 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 22c | 445.45$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 428.36$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.47 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 16c | 242.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Yes | 34c | 235.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…eaf2backed Yes | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 62 | 12.9%8 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 17c | 149.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 17c | 143.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8973…a37cbacked Yes | 17c | 143.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 7c | 143$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…1805backed Yes | 17c | 126.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 20c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +31.0wins | +0.24per pick | 35cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 17c | 105$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 72c | 100.75$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a7…16c5backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 16c | 94.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 66c | 84.32$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 16c | 63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc929…90cbbacked No | 68c | 17.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 79c | 14.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Andorra vs. Albania end in a draw?this page
- Will Albania win on 2025-11-13?Yes won
- Will Andorra win on 2025-11-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.