Tennis · resolved market
Madrid: Federico Cina vs Jurij Rodionov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ba6ba3069dca1b012df185b50fafcc0347761170ea4ac3634f2b5797cb406a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jurij Rodionovof Federico Cina, Jurij Rodionov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Federico Cina | 3c | 6,191$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.89 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Federico Cina | 3c | 3,216$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.12 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Federico Cina | 25c | 1,492$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.06 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Jurij Rodionov | 46c | 1,057$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.63 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Jurij Rodionov | 45c | 939.98$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.99 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Federico Cina | 18c | 920.23$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.32 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Federico Cina | 25c | 750.26$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.17 | 302 | 25.8%78 W · 224 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Federico Cina | 6c | 677.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Federico Cina | 47c | 643.36$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.95 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Jurij Rodionov | 78c | 622.73$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.4 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Jurij Rodionov | 46c | 525.87$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.97 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Federico Cina | 51c | 341.14$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.06 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Jurij Rodionov | 71c | 322.2$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.12 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Jurij Rodionov | 44c | 312.82$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.18 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Federico Cina | 28c | 305.93$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.08 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Jurij Rodionov | 48c | 250$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.76 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…fa0bbacked Jurij Rodionov | 45c | 239.21$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed Federico Cina | 15c | 226.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 103 | 17.5%18 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb6…8af4backed Jurij Rodionov | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Federico Cina | 32c | 197.76$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.58 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Federico Cina | 55c | 157.79$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.78 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Federico Cina | 55c | 157.79$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.78 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Federico Cina | 55c | 157.79$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.78 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Federico Cina | 48c | 156.25$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.52 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Federico Cina | 55c | 147.22$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.97 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Federico Cina | 55c | 147.21$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.96 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Federico Cina | 55c | 141.53$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.84 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Jurij Rodionov | 64c | 119.74$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Federico Cina | 55c | 113.27$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.3 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Jurij Rodionov | 77c | 105$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Federico Cina | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Jurij Rodionov | 79c | 97$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed Federico Cina | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf000…4a42backed Federico Cina | 55c | 83.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Jurij Rodionov | 48c | 73.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Jurij Rodionov | 55c | 65.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Federico Cina | 50c | 51.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Federico Cina | 49c | 47.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 405 | 48.1%195 W · 210 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Jurij Rodionov | 48c | 42.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Federico Cina | 32c | 37.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x939f…1558backed Jurij Rodionov | 78c | 32.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Jurij Rodionov | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…50c4backed Federico Cina | 52c | 23.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Federico Cina | 52c | 22.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Federico Cina | 55c | 22.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe36…9413backed Federico Cina | 56c | 21.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 313 | 58.5%183 W · 130 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d59…abebbacked Jurij Rodionov | 80c | 14.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.87 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Madrid: Federico Cina vs Jurij Rodionovthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Cina vs RodionovRodionov won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.