Euroleague · resolved market
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Tianjin Pioneers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c02926f3f3d2eb4021a6ca6e51b4ed190c488511e8ab21fa80e17f4738c29ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinof Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin, Tianjin Pioneers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,290 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tianjin Pioneers | 8c | 746.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tianjin Pioneers | 11c | 563.79$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.62 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Tianjin Pioneers | 11c | 558$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tianjin Pioneers | 11c | 473.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tianjin Pioneers | 14c | 355.34$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Tianjin Pioneers | 12c | 338.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Tianjin Pioneers | 5c | 299.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Tianjin Pioneers | 14c | 187.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Tianjin Pioneers | 16c | 174$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Tianjin Pioneers | 16c | 174$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Tianjin Pioneers | 17c | 117.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Tianjin Pioneers | 16c | 114$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Tianjin Pioneers | 14c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Tianjin Pioneers | 14c | 92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Tianjin Pioneers | 17c | 78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…2e25backed Tianjin Pioneers | 14c | 72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin | 80c | 20.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.