South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Boston River vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c074e04c1e62c6a7d73b2ff980b65454d12accf50fca94ef071cffe7126ad1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 9,622$6,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,624.82 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 15c | 8,444$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,177.06 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 60c | 4,044$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.34 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 3,293$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.51 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 11c | 2,198$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,959.7 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 47c | 1,337$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.47 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 45c | 612.9$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.22 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 38c | 509.68$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.69 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 66c | 324.8$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.43 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 33c | 300.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.82 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 31c | 299.03$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.33 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 70c | 282$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.4 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 15c | 254.19$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.06 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 70c | 164.48$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.13 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed Under | 69c | 103.87$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.52 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…c953backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 70c | 92.87$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.01 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 16c | 92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 63 | 15.9%10 W · 53 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 38c | 84.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 70c | 72.91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.01 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Under | 35c | 71.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 70c | 65.13$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 37c | 63.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 105 | 64.8%68 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x146a…0ad3backed Under | 74c | 62.16$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Under | 36c | 38.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 60c | 37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…ac63backed Under | 70c | 33.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 70c | 30.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under | 70c | 29.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 47c | 27.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19a4…a65bbacked Over | 65c | 22.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…b5e5backed Under | 71c | 18.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61c6…2e9fbacked Under | 70c | 15.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed Under | 70c | 15.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Under | 70c | 14.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9a…ecbfbacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Boston River vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 4.5this page
- CA Boston River vs. O'Higgins FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Boston River vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Boston River vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Boston River vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: CA Boston River (-1.5)O'Higgins FC won
- Spread: O'Higgins FC (-1.5)CA Boston River won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.