South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Boston River vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb6c9e7263f4dc399bad95a11cc89b655cea3e34cf889fc14718e3887200e0eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 45c | 5,552$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,027.71 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 17c | 4,020$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under | 55c | 3,738$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,056 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 75c | 2,140$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.06 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.99 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 1,202$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.67 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 53c | 669.39$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.39 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 54c | 593.02$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.66 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Over | 47c | 545.5$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.48 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 54c | 516$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.64 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 55c | 254$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.75 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 52c | 240.28$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.5 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 54c | 232.2$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.42 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 44c | 227.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.39 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 47c | 213.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 57c | 85.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.73 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…c512backed Over | 45c | 71.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 54c | 55.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf5…52adbacked Under | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 55c | 42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 39c | 33.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Under | 36c | 31.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd840…1ec6backed Over | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 38c | 26.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 58c | 26.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 54c | 21.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Boston River vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Boston River vs. O'Higgins FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Boston River vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Boston River vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- CA Boston River vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: CA Boston River (-1.5)O'Higgins FC won
- Spread: O'Higgins FC (-1.5)CA Boston River won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.