Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Milwaukee Panthers vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c6355e426b7b792c5de5d5dd31db50d64361c14ef1830bb5c54bf1643582ccb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodonsof Milwaukee Panthers, Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Milwaukee Panthers | 38c | 1,552$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.76 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 62c | 1,397$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.86 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 4c | 1,295$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 140 | 21.4%30 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Milwaukee Panthers | 29c | 1,030$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.72 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 60c | 701.9$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.76 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Milwaukee Panthers | 37c | 578.01$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.86 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8c03backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 63c | 544.42$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.44 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 69c | 445.8$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.92 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0b…cdfcbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 39c | 438.46$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 73c | 375.07$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.91 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 72c | 368.15$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.02 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 15c | 367.28$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Milwaukee Panthers | 40c | 350$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 61c | 223.46$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.15 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Milwaukee Panthers | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Milwaukee Panthers | 19c | 197.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Milwaukee Panthers | 9c | 189.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e40…224ebacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 76c | 183.27$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 64c | 155.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Milwaukee Panthers | 39c | 109.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.16 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Milwaukee Panthers | 25c | 79.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 63c | 70.5$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Milwaukee Panthers | 35c | 62.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Milwaukee Panthers | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb670…4285backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 78c | 48.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 78c | 43.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…665bbacked Milwaukee Panthers | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Milwaukee Panthers | 39c | 27.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…1afdbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 79c | 21.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 75c | 21.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…f72cbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcf…23fabacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 61c | 18.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 62c | 17.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 80c | 17.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.