Tennis · resolved market
Tigre 2: Guy Den Ouden vs Diego Dedura-Palomero
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cac15ddb0a9e3b2fd62b743af10715aeaed0aa0cd266278fd2dd3dc4e59b4e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dedura-Palomeroof Ouden, Dedura-Palomero
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ouden | 9c | 2,478$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.47 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Dedura-Palomero | 52c | 1,555$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.63 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Dedura-Palomero | 29c | 969.06$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.52 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ouden | 47c | 658.48$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.5 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…849cbacked Ouden | 64c | 568.35$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Dedura-Palomero | 37c | 549.99$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.49 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Ouden | 53c | 537$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.65 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Dedura-Palomero | 69c | 487.33$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.62 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Ouden | 53c | 465$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.32 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Ouden | 51c | 409$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.88 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Ouden | 32c | 382.25$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.74 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Dedura-Palomero | 34c | 345.18$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.82 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Ouden | 45c | 330.4$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.27 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Ouden | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58ba…1ae8backed Ouden | 72c | 315$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.22 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Dedura-Palomero | 29c | 303.43$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.28 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Dedura-Palomero | 47c | 291.13$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.32 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Ouden | 66c | 284.39$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.6 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Dedura-Palomero | 36c | 249$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.36 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Ouden | 54c | 243$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.41 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Dedura-Palomero | 36c | 225.85$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.24 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…bd29backed Ouden | 59c | 210$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Ouden | 47c | 206.73$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.85 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Dedura-Palomero | 39c | 205.16$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.04 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Ouden | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…f11bbacked Ouden | 64c | 156.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Dedura-Palomero | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Ouden | 12c | 124.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 341 | 49.9%170 W · 171 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Ouden | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Ouden | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Dedura-Palomero | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Dedura-Palomero | 42c | 85.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Ouden | 30c | 84.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…4afdbacked Dedura-Palomero | 36c | 81.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…b4b3backed Dedura-Palomero | 38c | 78.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Ouden | 65c | 72.31$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 206 | 64.1%132 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ouden | 33c | 50.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a6…0f2bbacked Dedura-Palomero | 41c | 44.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 44cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…714bbacked Ouden | 66c | 33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1b…18bfbacked Ouden | 57c | 31.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Ouden | 78c | 26.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Dedura-Palomero | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.