Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kalmar FF win on 2026-07-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cbe983730be3a0dd63c1cbf677240806b8e953bd366541f9b952f054c8839dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,634
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,634 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed No | 36c | 999.86$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 77c | 540.27$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.07 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked No | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 7c | 165.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 66c | 163.3$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.84 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…cc4cbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 65c | 84.67$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked No | 27c | 76.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -8.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 34c | 65.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Yes | 76c | 63.62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 36c | 56.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Yes | 65c | 56.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 76 | 82.9%63 W · 13 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 35c | 45.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 33c | 45.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 205 | 50.7%104 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Yes | 79c | 42.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…5828backed No | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Yes | 66c | 37.03$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Yes | 64c | 35.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 52cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…dc9cbacked Yes | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Yes | 64c | 18.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 64c | 18.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 64c | 16.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 70c | 16.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kalmar FF win on 2026-07-05?this page
- Will Kalmar FF vs. Orgryte IS end in a draw?No won
- Will Orgryte IS win on 2026-07-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.