Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wichita: Enzo Aguiard vs Adria Soriano Barrera
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ce6066d7ff70e4a3504b784f45132a13c98d5d048989e97392f19d94c11b0fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Enzo Aguiardof Enzo Aguiard, Adria Soriano Barrera
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Adria Soriano Barrera | 76c | 2,504$1,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,902.23 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Enzo Aguiard | 22c | 2,484$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.25 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Enzo Aguiard | 25c | 1,736$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.03 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Adria Soriano Barrera | 43c | 1,099$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.56 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…4aadbacked Enzo Aguiard | 24c | 609.63$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.32 | 242 | 45%109 W · 133 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Adria Soriano Barrera | 66c | 456$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.12 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…71b4backed Enzo Aguiard | 56c | 399$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.88 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Enzo Aguiard | 16c | 380.17$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.39 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Enzo Aguiard | 27c | 203.7$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.7 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Enzo Aguiard | 57c | 201.75$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.75 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Adria Soriano Barrera | 21c | 115$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Enzo Aguiard | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e1eebacked Enzo Aguiard | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Adria Soriano Barrera | 51c | 82.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Adria Soriano Barrera | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0d…3646backed Adria Soriano Barrera | 62c | 80.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Adria Soriano Barrera | 63c | 56.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Enzo Aguiard | 68c | 51.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Adria Soriano Barrera | 43c | 44.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Adria Soriano Barrera | 49c | 43.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Adria Soriano Barrera | 48c | 32.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e65…d1d3backed Enzo Aguiard | 74c | 21.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Adria Soriano Barrera | 78c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.