Lol · resolved market
LoL: Galions vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cfb13846f1d2329ad505cee92af4002ae283d32a3cdbf0e734bee829e0f5629
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galionsof Galions, UCAM Esports Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6f0f…1fbabacked UCAM Esports Club | 15c | 1,477$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed UCAM Esports Club | 14c | 1,423$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.49 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked UCAM Esports Club | 35c | 1,412$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…509dbacked Galions | 66c | 800$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 252 | 68.3%172 W · 80 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked UCAM Esports Club | 13c | 426.72$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed UCAM Esports Club | 6c | 308.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Galions | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed UCAM Esports Club | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Galions | 50c | 136.86$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.43 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked UCAM Esports Club | 27c | 99.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed UCAM Esports Club | 15c | 78.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…5cefbacked Galions | 75c | 74.07$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 170 | 57.1%97 W · 73 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed UCAM Esports Club | 27c | 53.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 441 | 28.1%124 W · 317 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb92…b02dbacked Galions | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Galions | 74c | 21.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Galions vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Galions vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group BGalions won
- LoL: Galions vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 WinnerGalions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.