Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63b6de79e8a1f05aa4208411983d52c76fd43992df1b8144febc155efcdf5a15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,956 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x985d…8836backed Under | 60c | 518$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Over | 40c | 433$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.2 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -16.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 60c | 416.59$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.2 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd3…355ebacked Over | 41c | 316$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc30…71f4backed Under | 61c | 285$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0242…0cebbacked Under | 60c | 283$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c3…bbbcbacked Over | 41c | 282$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc1…9452backed Under | 59c | 279$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…ad2ebacked Under | 60c | 273$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 65c | 243.41$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.01 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe630…f15cbacked Under | 60c | 233$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…4588backed Under | 60c | 224$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e5…1fa9backed Over | 41c | 219$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a4…3213backed Over | 41c | 219$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc82…edc8backed Under | 61c | 206$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e4…0dddbacked Under | 59c | 206$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04de…7729backed Under | 60c | 201$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42a…c156backed Over | 41c | 201$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 34c | 199.87$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.96 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…f8d4backed Under | 59c | 198$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…fbc7backed Under | 59c | 193$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a2…2728backed Over | 39c | 189$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe74…0810backed Under | 60c | 181$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e4…c128backed Under | 59c | 181$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…7f00backed Under | 59c | 180$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +98.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeefc…8218backed Over | 39c | 179$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x852e…98dabacked Over | 40c | 170$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…1f5abacked Over | 40c | 170$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9adb…bcd2backed Over | 40c | 168$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8200…29f3backed Over | 40c | 162$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2609…6617backed Over | 40c | 149$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…6892backed Over | 40c | 143$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec5…6d91backed Over | 40c | 138$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f42…2c90backed Over | 39c | 135$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4891…993cbacked Over | 40c | 127$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5883…c532backed Over | 40c | 119$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7e…d0f7backed Over | 39c | 118$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x845c…4800backed Over | 39c | 115$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefcd…f539backed Over | 40c | 113$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6e…6419backed Over | 40c | 111$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…14e6backed Over | 40c | 108$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 60c | 72.82$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Over | 39c | 43.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d18…3d29backed Over | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 61c | 27.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- LoL: Galions vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group BGalions won
- LoL: Galions vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 WinnerGalions won
- LoL: Galions vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 WinnerGalions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.