Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: STREAMER ARENA vs LYON (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d23e884a3ca774e0a5a05044b1c84b89c6780a867805dbbddc6c5596ed28388
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LYONof STREAMER ARENA, LYON
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed STREAMER ARENA | 7c | 859.64$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.76 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed STREAMER ARENA | 7c | 842.95$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -20.7wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked STREAMER ARENA | 49c | 640$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.43 | 351 | 42.5%149 W · 202 L | -14.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed STREAMER ARENA | 21c | 612$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.72 | 463 | 47.1%218 W · 245 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked STREAMER ARENA | 20c | 541.1$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.15 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed LYON | 49c | 343.6$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.64 | 238 | 36.1%86 W · 152 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked STREAMER ARENA | 42c | 335.44$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.15 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked STREAMER ARENA | 30c | 324.69$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.49 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked LYON | 75c | 304$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.37 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7494…ee81backed STREAMER ARENA | 25c | 285.29$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed LYON | 51c | 278.92$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.86 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked STREAMER ARENA | 10c | 264.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked STREAMER ARENA | 21c | 214.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked STREAMER ARENA | 29c | 166$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 236 | 44.5%105 W · 131 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked LYON | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed LYON | 73c | 50.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -7.9wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed LYON | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: STREAMER ARENA vs LYON (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Playoffsthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5Over won
- Map Handicap: LYON (-1.5) vs STREAMER ARENA (+1.5)LYON won
- Valorant: STREAMER ARENA vs LYON - Map 1 WinnerLYON won
- Valorant: STREAMER ARENA vs LYON - Map 2 WinnerLYON won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.