Tennis · resolved market
ITF Saskatoon: Isabella Marton vs Thara Gowda
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d28a2eeb0b69be0999bd7e103950cfe5ffa45ef4e9b0811e05b3fdf4041f189
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Isabella Martonof Isabella Marton, Thara Gowda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,984
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,984 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Thara Gowda | 62c | 7,198$4,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,463.05 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Isabella Marton | 38c | 6,138$2,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,802.01 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…35b8backed Isabella Marton | 52c | 2,865$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.49 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Thara Gowda | 78c | 1,832$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.34 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Isabella Marton | 21c | 1,604$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.88 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Thara Gowda | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 472 | 52.1%246 W · 226 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x693b…84e3backed Isabella Marton | 14c | 552$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.5 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Isabella Marton | 8c | 299.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.16 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Thara Gowda | 77c | 291.38$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.18 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Thara Gowda | 79c | 266.61$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.47 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Isabella Marton | 23c | 262.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.01 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Isabella Marton | 28c | 216.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.44 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Thara Gowda | 62c | 202.48$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.54 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Thara Gowda | 55c | 182$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Thara Gowda | 62c | 179.24$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.41 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Thara Gowda | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Thara Gowda | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Thara Gowda | 78c | 127.38$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 179 | 72.6%130 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Isabella Marton | 33c | 118.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.48 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Thara Gowda | 79c | 110$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.95 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked Isabella Marton | 34c | 38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -24.1wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x583c…86c0backed Thara Gowda | 56c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Isabella Marton | 46c | 22.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Thara Gowda | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.