CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs FORZE Reload - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d31d7f6f04c17ff4565257c3d022278923c8c76abc5441043c8e6b50d219a05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WW Teamof WW Team, FORZE Reload
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FORZE Reload | 17c | 2,873$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.33 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FORZE Reload | 30c | 1,897$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.72 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed WW Team | 53c | 1,795$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.43 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed WW Team | 43c | 500$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FORZE Reload | 46c | 475.99$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.68 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ce…b984backed WW Team | 42c | 294$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f5…bc16backed FORZE Reload | 58c | 272$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10e2…450fbacked FORZE Reload | 58c | 267$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked WW Team | 52c | 248.79$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.29 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked FORZE Reload | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed FORZE Reload | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…ebc7backed FORZE Reload | 58c | 179$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…438fbacked WW Team | 42c | 158$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5b…a7d1backed WW Team | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59cc…d042backed WW Team | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…aba9backed FORZE Reload | 58c | 115$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a25…d3c0backed WW Team | 42c | 111$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed WW Team | 58c | 104$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.93 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1c9fbacked WW Team | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed WW Team | 36c | 79.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.56 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked WW Team | 61c | 45.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked WW Team | 59c | 17.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: WW Team vs FORZE Reload - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: WW Team vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 PlayoffsWW Team won
- Counter-Strike: WW Team vs FORZE Reload - Map 1 WinnerWW Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.