CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52c701fa8e9f7d1adaae71f67d5e977710d22cf2dd516b6dfec6b63fa14bd8d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WW Teamof WW Team, FORZE Reload
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,181
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed FORZE Reload | 8c | 1,376$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.27 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed FORZE Reload | 40c | 990.8$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.48 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed WW Team | 60c | 635$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.85 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed WW Team | 47c | 375.19$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.1 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed FORZE Reload | 54c | 354.62$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.4 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FORZE Reload | 36c | 219.88$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.18 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked FORZE Reload | 53c | 203.92$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.92 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed WW Team | 47c | 199.99$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…0470backed WW Team | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked WW Team | 65c | 149.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FORZE Reload | 53c | 147.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.42 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d7…b2adbacked WW Team | 72c | 138.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd572…5510backed WW Team | 45c | 101.3$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked WW Team | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x049e…55b1backed FORZE Reload | 32c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked FORZE Reload | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FORZE Reload | 32c | 57.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed WW Team | 45c | 50.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked WW Team | 59c | 50.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FORZE Reload | 30c | 45.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed FORZE Reload | 31c | 44.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e53…5c9dbacked WW Team | 62c | 42.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked WW Team | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15cc…7f61backed WW Team | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked WW Team | 69c | 24.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed FORZE Reload | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed WW Team | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: WW Team vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: WW Team vs FORZE Reload - Map 1 WinnerWW Team won
- Counter-Strike: WW Team vs FORZE Reload - Map 2 WinnerWW Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.