Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Boulter (-1.5) vs Fruhvirtova (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d4e28d923a1be9cec71b870c712cb54e6a31e8c18d15978cce40b5033800946
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boulterof Boulter, Fruhvirtova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Boulter | 41c | 378.69$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.43 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Fruhvirtova | 59c | 368.31$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.18 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fruhvirtova | 17c | 216.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Boulter | 37c | 114$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Fruhvirtova | 49c | 99.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…57ebbacked Boulter | 35c | 67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Fruhvirtova | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Boulter | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a42…34d8backed Boulter | 38c | 54.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Boulter | 39c | 51.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Fruhvirtova | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Boulter | 32c | 44.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 348 | 42.2%147 W · 201 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Boulter | 38c | 43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…48d8backed Fruhvirtova | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e6…f251backed Fruhvirtova | 63c | 38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…668abacked Fruhvirtova | 63c | 34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Boulter | 34c | 34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Fruhvirtova | 59c | 31.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked Fruhvirtova | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -46%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Fruhvirtova | 65c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…6613backed Fruhvirtova | 65c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Fruhvirtova | 65c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Boulter (-1.5) vs Fruhvirtova (+1.5)this page
- Fruhvirtova vs. Boulter: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Ostrava Open: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Katie BoulterBoulter won
- Set 1 Winner: Fruhvirtova vs BoulterBoulter won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.