CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs BASEMENT BOYS - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d6bd3d2d62b8de29987f73189c65b153667e6d4643cf576f0b92135e2f32373
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atreidesof Atreides, BASEMENT BOYS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked BASEMENT BOYS | 3c | 373.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 42c | 369.14$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.34 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 34c | 291.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.09 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Atreides | 50c | 287.9$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.95 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Atreides | 65c | 235.63$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BASEMENT BOYS | 36c | 218.7$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.46 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Atreides | 65c | 171.82$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Atreides | 38c | 109.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Atreides | 65c | 98.08$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked BASEMENT BOYS | 66c | 97.27$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed BASEMENT BOYS | 34c | 70.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Atreides | 66c | 69.78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Atreides | 75c | 66.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 28c | 50.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Atreides | 71c | 48.84$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Atreides | 60c | 45.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 33c | 43.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 216 | 23.6%51 W · 165 L | -27.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd969…b08bbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 58c | 23.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -10.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs BASEMENT BOYS - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 PlayoffsAtreides won
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs BASEMENT BOYS - Map 1 WinnerBASEMENT BOYS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.