CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6ab0bb692577b7ca13945c440d9fd6386ddbe40effd7908d256ea66663430c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atreidesof Atreides, BASEMENT BOYS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,648
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 28c | 2,228$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.21 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed BASEMENT BOYS | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed BASEMENT BOYS | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 108 | 0.9%1 W · 107 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…440fbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 75 | 1.3%1 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed BASEMENT BOYS | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 215 | 0.9%2 W · 213 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Atreides | 36c | 728.53$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.04 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Atreides | 29c | 557.86$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.92 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Atreides | 49c | 556.1$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.58 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed BASEMENT BOYS | 68c | 541.64$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.55 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Atreides | 30c | 535.67$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.11 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Atreides | 30c | 491.96$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.73 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed BASEMENT BOYS | 47c | 491.46$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.08 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…a898backed BASEMENT BOYS | 70c | 442.66$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.62 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 62c | 337.73$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.01 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Atreides | 51c | 330.45$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.28 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed BASEMENT BOYS | 28c | 286.03$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.75 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Atreides | 46c | 267.12$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.27 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Atreides | 30c | 219.92$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.05 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Atreides | 28c | 216.8$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.16 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Atreides | 58c | 205.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Atreides | 70c | 196.37$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Atreides | 39c | 183.55$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.97 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked BASEMENT BOYS | 55c | 182.51$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.61 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Atreides | 66c | 162.58$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.87 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Atreides | 35c | 160.82$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.27 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Atreides | 36c | 155.54$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.52 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked BASEMENT BOYS | 60c | 137.3$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.77 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Atreides | 72c | 134.62$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.29 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Atreides | 72c | 122.56$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 366 | 49.5%181 W · 185 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed BASEMENT BOYS | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 34c | 104.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BASEMENT BOYS | 63c | 101.82$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.47 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 43c | 97.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 406 | 35.7%145 W · 261 L | -33.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed BASEMENT BOYS | 71c | 97.47$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.76 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 50c | 94.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed BASEMENT BOYS | 50c | 90.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…db25backed Atreides | 14c | 86.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.92 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed BASEMENT BOYS | 57c | 86.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked Atreides | 47c | 85.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed BASEMENT BOYS | 59c | 83.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.42 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Atreides | 44c | 81.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…db98backed BASEMENT BOYS | 66c | 75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed BASEMENT BOYS | 41c | 74.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed BASEMENT BOYS | 50c | 73.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 164 | 64.6%106 W · 58 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed BASEMENT BOYS | 46c | 70.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.54 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed BASEMENT BOYS | 56c | 69.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x073c…02d3backed BASEMENT BOYS | 73c | 53.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Atreides | 37c | 50.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Atreides | 57c | 48.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a3…5857backed BASEMENT BOYS | 32c | 47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 194 | 47.4%92 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed Atreides | 67c | 45.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 84 | 75%63 W · 21 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Atreides | 36c | 41.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Atreides | 40c | 40.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Atreides | 28c | 38.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Atreides | 65c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b4…37d2backed BASEMENT BOYS | 66c | 36.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 60c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Atreides | 47c | 30.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Atreides | 52c | 30.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked BASEMENT BOYS | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed BASEMENT BOYS | 53c | 29.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed BASEMENT BOYS | 77c | 29.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Atreides | 45c | 26.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc7…9194backed Atreides | 47c | 25.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed BASEMENT BOYS | 67c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 284 | 34.9%99 W · 185 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed BASEMENT BOYS | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5830…5939backed BASEMENT BOYS | 55c | 19.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e4…04edbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 65c | 16.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs BASEMENT BOYS - Map 1 WinnerBASEMENT BOYS won
- Counter-Strike: Atreides vs BASEMENT BOYS - Map 2 WinnerAtreides won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.