Tennis · resolved market
Set 2 Winner: Etcheverry vs Buse
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4da19c84e0d99112399e009fb2643bd5849f9128eeb849ec4c602c97b87b1b52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Etcheverryof Etcheverry, Buse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Buse | 36c | 3,215$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ad…ae4bbacked Etcheverry | 66c | 3,201$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.86 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…ffe8backed Buse | 45c | 558.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b50…fd61backed Etcheverry | 56c | 519.99$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.8 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Buse | 48c | 314.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2b…0900backed Etcheverry | 47c | 204.75$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.75 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…7047backed Buse | 51c | 196.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 256 | 33.6%86 W · 170 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Etcheverry | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…2494backed Etcheverry | 58c | 110.34$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.34 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Etcheverry | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…58e8backed Buse | 46c | 67.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Buse | 47c | 64.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Etcheverry | 54c | 38.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Buse | 48c | 31.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…104cbacked Buse | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 302 | 51.3%155 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Etcheverry | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 2 Winner: Etcheverry vs Busethis page
- Etcheverry vs. Buse: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Etcheverry vs. Buse: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Generali Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Ignacio BuseTomas Etcheverry won
- Tomas Etcheverry vs. Ignacio Buse: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.