Lol · resolved market
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs GOAL - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4da2961082bc3ab2d850a08196a19afafd67e7cc8d5c3f06c8d0868d9fa1ce0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTSof E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS, GOAL
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,106
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,106 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x048f…9992backed GOAL | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed GOAL | 21c | 1,973$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.73 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed GOAL | 20c | 1,808$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.44 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 80c | 1,556$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.38 | 660 | 59.8%395 W · 265 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 71c | 1,519$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.54 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3737…bfd1backed GOAL | 23c | 1,130$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.21 | 379 | 57.5%218 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 79c | 1,019$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.05 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…d494backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 80c | 880.16$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.07 | 205 | 57.1%117 W · 88 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 75c | 778.95$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.82 | 869 | 43.2%375 W · 494 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked GOAL | 34c | 521.71$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.82 | 677 | 60.4%409 W · 268 L | +42.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed GOAL | 25c | 499.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.85 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 71c | 447.4$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.9 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 75c | 411.73$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.31 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked GOAL | 13c | 407.34$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…0ddcbacked GOAL | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 123 | 24.4%30 W · 93 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 76c | 385.75$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.58 | 483 | 53.4%258 W · 225 L | -19.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed GOAL | 30c | 329.71$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.15 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 75c | 185$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 64c | 183.58$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.09 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked GOAL | 19c | 176.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked GOAL | 19c | 166.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…441bbacked GOAL | 33c | 153.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 225 | 58.2%131 W · 94 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 76c | 149.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8a…b9f8backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9467…98fbbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +43%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f8…7fa1backed GOAL | 22c | 112.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 777 | 46.2%359 W · 418 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed GOAL | 21c | 111.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked GOAL | 19c | 102.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed GOAL | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed GOAL | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 66c | 92.8$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked GOAL | 15c | 83.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed GOAL | 35c | 69.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed GOAL | 21c | 66.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed GOAL | 20c | 54.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed GOAL | 40c | 53.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 199 | 48.2%96 W · 103 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa109…c0b8backed GOAL | 34c | 52.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6748…3c4cbacked GOAL | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked GOAL | 30c | 37.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae9e…bd2cbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 63c | 31.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…52d2backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 346 | 67.6%234 W · 112 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b17…fdbfbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 181 | 59.7%108 W · 73 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 393 | 52.4%206 W · 187 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS | 68c | 16.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs GOAL - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: EWI (-1.5) vs GOAL (+1.5)E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs GOAL (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-InE WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS won
- LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs GOAL - Game 2 WinnerE WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.