Tennis · resolved market
Halle Open, Qualification: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Roberto Bautista Agut
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4da763ee24efb1fde369a14379bbcc5bd18d323d4b661288403099d9377c75af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Roberto Bautista Agutof Benito Sanchez Martinez, Roberto Bautista Agut
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Benito Sanchez Martinez | 8c | 1,121$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.67 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1a…e943backed Benito Sanchez Martinez | 11c | 1,037$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 215 | 24.7%53 W · 162 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15dd…11dbbacked Benito Sanchez Martinez | 5c | 999$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Benito Sanchez Martinez | 12c | 833.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Benito Sanchez Martinez | 15c | 476.61$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.53 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Benito Sanchez Martinez | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 146 | 13.7%20 W · 126 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Benito Sanchez Martinez | 6c | 396.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Benito Sanchez Martinez | 17c | 190.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Benito Sanchez Martinez | 15c | 145.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Benito Sanchez Martinez | 17c | 85.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Benito Sanchez Martinez | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Benito Sanchez Martinez | 14c | 79.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.