Tennis · resolved market
ITF Gimcheon: Taisei Ichikawa vs Yuto Oki
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4daff932abe312f402870b3f7b897827aa120e333324dfc63cfa61b1942a3214
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Taisei Ichikawaof Taisei Ichikawa, Yuto Oki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Taisei Ichikawa | 59c | 815.79$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.79 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yuto Oki | 40c | 653.57$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.41 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Yuto Oki | 43c | 279.06$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Taisei Ichikawa | 60c | 166.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.92 | 160 | 55%88 W · 72 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Taisei Ichikawa | 60c | 79.65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yuto Oki | 39c | 57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yuto Oki | 31c | 49.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe377…dc67backed Yuto Oki | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Taisei Ichikawa | 57c | 29.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Taisei Ichikawa | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb3…db14backed Taisei Ichikawa | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef6…9331backed Taisei Ichikawa | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.