Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs KT Rolster Challengers (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4dce26e7b321301f3f06269c38ab2f13e30ec29cb92066ad68a1cb2f4c9cd06a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Rolster Challengersof T1 Academy, KT Rolster Challengers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1316…48a4backed T1 Academy | 46c | 874.21$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.11 | 474 | 55.3%262 W · 212 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked T1 Academy | 50c | 598.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 271 | 42.4%115 W · 156 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f00…2f63backed KT Rolster Challengers | 57c | 584.21$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.21 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked KT Rolster Challengers | 49c | 346.56$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.51 | 407 | 41.5%169 W · 238 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked KT Rolster Challengers | 47c | 324.81$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.39 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked KT Rolster Challengers | 50c | 271.59$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.8 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed T1 Academy | 52c | 114.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked KT Rolster Challengers | 46c | 114.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 293 | 38.6%113 W · 180 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…2573backed T1 Academy | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed T1 Academy | 50c | 66.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed T1 Academy | 46c | 51.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed T1 Academy | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 406 | 45.6%185 W · 221 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked T1 Academy | 45c | 35.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 343 | 57.1%196 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed KT Rolster Challengers | 48c | 25.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs KT Rolster Challengers (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over won
- LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - Asia Masters PlayoffsT1 Academy won
- LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 WinnerKT Rolster Challengers won
- LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 WinnerT1 Academy won
- LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 3 WinnerKT Rolster Challengers won
- LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 4 WinnerT1 Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.