Lol · resolved market
LoL: Lodis vs Barcząca Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e1c605bb90deab45af6632e48a3371dd39d8315cff56d9dba7506f708125c25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lodisof Lodis, Barcząca Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Barcząca Esports | 13c | 868.64$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.69 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf795…5e34backed Barcząca Esports | 10c | 699.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 100 | 17%17 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Barcząca Esports | 14c | 466.41$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.58 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d21…b3cfbacked Lodis | 79c | 427$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.67 | 356 | 59%210 W · 146 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb8…5a88backed Barcząca Esports | 22c | 398.77$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.73 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…6c84backed Barcząca Esports | 12c | 329.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 344 | 38.7%133 W · 211 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Lodis | 80c | 147.01$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 389 | 31.9%124 W · 265 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df3…9ac3backed Barcząca Esports | 18c | 96.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 420 | 55%231 W · 189 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae4…4c34backed Barcząca Esports | 23c | 95.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Barcząca Esports | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 786 | 9.8%77 W · 709 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lodis | 77c | 48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Lodis | 80c | 38.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 780 | 43.1%336 W · 444 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…99d1backed Lodis | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…9626backed Barcząca Esports | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Lodis | 72c | 20.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 507 | 45%228 W · 279 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Lodis | 78c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 857 | 42.7%366 W · 491 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Lodis | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.98 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Lodis vs Barcząca Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Lodis vs Barcząca Esports (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular SeasonLodis won
- LoL: Lodis vs Barcząca Esports - Game 1 WinnerLodis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.