Lol · resolved market
LoL: Lodis vs Barcząca Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94a5e5817d5a04a4bcadc4589753efc8a831de17210887517a66387227415717
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lodisof Lodis, Barcząca Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,678
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lodis | 74c | 3,017$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.15 | 1,428 | 38.4%548 W · 880 L | -42.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…c757backed Barcząca Esports | 1c | 2,996$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 54 | 0%0 W · 54 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x515d…0340backed Barcząca Esports | 25c | 1,382$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.6 | 357 | 58.5%209 W · 148 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked Barcząca Esports | 24c | 1,201$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.15 | 178 | 39.3%70 W · 108 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…a408backed Barcząca Esports | 27c | 560.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 366 | 52.5%192 W · 174 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Barcząca Esports | 25c | 522.32$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.15 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…bc5ebacked Barcząca Esports | 34c | 419$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.46 | 364 | 58.8%214 W · 150 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Lodis | 76c | 380.63$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.21 | 692 | 59.7%413 W · 279 L | +75.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Lodis | 66c | 277$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.45 | 1,658 | 46.9%777 W · 881 L | -25.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d21…b3cfbacked Lodis | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 363 | 59%214 W · 149 L | +21.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Barcząca Esports | 27c | 233.95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.68 | 1,384 | 31.3%433 W · 951 L | -133.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Barcząca Esports | 12c | 231$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 2,330 | 39.4%919 W · 1,411 L | -83.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lodis | 65c | 201.86$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.07 | 2,020 | 30.5%617 W · 1,403 L | -172.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Lodis | 65c | 199.28$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.22 | 874 | 43.1%377 W · 497 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f95…bf8ebacked Barcząca Esports | 21c | 197.79$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 146 | 42.5%62 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Barcząca Esports | 21c | 160$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 3,159 | 33.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L | -152.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Lodis | 67c | 145.22$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.91 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f8…7fa1backed Barcząca Esports | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 786 | 46.4%365 W · 421 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df3…9ac3backed Barcząca Esports | 28c | 100.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 443 | 55.5%246 W · 197 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Barcząca Esports | 21c | 100.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 307 | 43%132 W · 175 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Barcząca Esports | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 503 | 45.7%230 W · 273 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Lodis | 50c | 98.5$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 162 | 24.1%39 W · 123 L | -21.1wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Barcząca Esports | 36c | 96.59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.35 | 657 | 25.9%170 W · 487 L | -93.4wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x242c…ddd2backed Barcząca Esports | 28c | 82.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Barcząca Esports | 39c | 78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 1,085 | 46.2%501 W · 584 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Barcząca Esports | 34c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,091 | 47.4%517 W · 574 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Barcząca Esports | 28c | 67.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 1,965 | 48.4%951 W · 1,014 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Barcząca Esports | 35c | 67.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked Barcząca Esports | 23c | 55.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…99d1backed Barcząca Esports | 33c | 51.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Barcząca Esports | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Barcząca Esports | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 977 | 44.8%438 W · 539 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked Barcząca Esports | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1,082 | 39.5%427 W · 655 L | -78.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…4fabbacked Barcząca Esports | 34c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 348 | 58%202 W · 146 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Lodis | 67c | 30.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 249 | 59.8%149 W · 100 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Lodis | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 780 | 43.1%336 W · 444 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…476dbacked Lodis | 78c | 29.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 242 | 71.9%174 W · 68 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb71…1ab1backed Lodis | 77c | 20.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Lodis | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 467 | 62.3%291 W · 176 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb8…5a88backed Lodis | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 356 | 54.8%195 W · 161 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…7a5dbacked Barcząca Esports | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Lodis vs Barcząca Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: Lodis vs Barcząca Esports (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular SeasonLodis won
- LoL: Lodis vs Barcząca Esports - Game 2 WinnerLodis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.