Asian League · resolved market
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e35643ff0573bb385d175c184c1e0b3e87817d268cdb862cbf3aecf530917f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 22c | 2,000$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 78c | 1,824$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.2 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 776.11$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.15 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 28c | 714.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 569.93$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.05 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 53c | 542.01$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.92 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 17c | 525.1$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.77 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 31c | 313.72$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 73c | 185.11$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.13 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 27c | 147.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.59 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 27c | 141$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.93 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Yes | 53c | 139$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.47 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 73c | 108.1$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 100.81$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 58c | 95.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.15 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed No | 26c | 90.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Yes | 52c | 79.05$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 53c | 78.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 30c | 78.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.89 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 41c | 76.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 720 | 44.2%318 W · 402 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 75.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 47c | 64.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 60.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 28c | 56.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.51 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 28c | 56.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 72c | 51.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 35c | 42.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 80 | 63.8%51 W · 29 L | +9.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 33c | 39.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 28c | 38.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 39c | 31.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7898…0667backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…e592backed Yes | 56c | 25.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 77c | 24.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…0b44backed Yes | 62c | 23.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 72c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 50c | 20.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 57c | 19.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-10?No won
- Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-05-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.