Tennis · resolved market
ITF Vitoria-Gasteiz: Maria Martinez Vaquero vs Valeria Savinykh
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4eb3ef841b61478de434719ecc3f843ef00dc9cc76f1d86c267b3c987b8a303b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valeria Savinykhof Maria Martinez Vaquero, Valeria Savinykh
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Maria Martinez Vaquero | 26c | 6,823$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.83 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Valeria Savinykh | 70c | 6,300$4,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,881.41 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Valeria Savinykh | 33c | 832.11$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.81 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfb…84a6backed Valeria Savinykh | 16c | 680.53$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.77 | 128 | 14.1%18 W · 110 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Maria Martinez Vaquero | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Valeria Savinykh | 25c | 408.43$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.61 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7d…2c2cbacked Valeria Savinykh | 26c | 288.82$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.99 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Maria Martinez Vaquero | 46c | 215.2$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Valeria Savinykh | 34c | 169.87$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.23 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Maria Martinez Vaquero | 34c | 148.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 429 | 30.5%131 W · 298 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c7…b8e1backed Valeria Savinykh | 24c | 111.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.07 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Valeria Savinykh | 51c | 110.89$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.89 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Valeria Savinykh | 27c | 85.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Maria Martinez Vaquero | 50c | 66.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Maria Martinez Vaquero | 67c | 49.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Maria Martinez Vaquero | 63c | 33.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Maria Martinez Vaquero | 68c | 31.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Valeria Savinykh | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Maria Martinez Vaquero | 63c | 20.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 442 | 29.6%131 W · 311 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Valeria Savinykh | 55c | 20.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Valeria Savinykh | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Maria Martinez Vaquero | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Valeria Savinykh | 59c | 19.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Maria Martinez Vaquero | 66c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.