CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nordic Valor vs IMHOWeRGOAT - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4eb47751ca88be903149f0ac5c16581c18bc9a005156ee8f7cf04ef0a35ae61d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- IMHOWeRGOATof Nordic Valor, IMHOWeRGOAT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6445…5213backed IMHOWeRGOAT | 39c | 763.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.89 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +5.7wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Nordic Valor | 56c | 761.63$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.34 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed IMHOWeRGOAT | 35c | 600.27$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.83 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…7db2backed IMHOWeRGOAT | 55c | 383.02$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.23 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed Nordic Valor | 10c | 276.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 190 | 35.8%68 W · 122 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed IMHOWeRGOAT | 55c | 216.38$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nordic Valor | 55c | 187.05$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.61 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nordic Valor | 56c | 161.19$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.92 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nordic Valor | 59c | 129.41$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.12 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Nordic Valor | 69c | 97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Nordic Valor | 75c | 89.95$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.57 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…46eebacked IMHOWeRGOAT | 37c | 81.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Nordic Valor | 69c | 79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Nordic Valor | 53c | 57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nordic Valor | 68c | 44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed IMHOWeRGOAT | 65c | 42.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Nordic Valor | 69c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Nordic Valor | 68c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed IMHOWeRGOAT | 71c | 26.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nordic Valor vs IMHOWeRGOAT - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nordic Valor vs IMHOWeRGOAT (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #8 PlayoffsIMHOWeRGOAT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.