Premier League · resolved market
Will Tottenham beat Newcastle?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ebe440e11a1f4fca0b499a211d761694497c5d324a68dd051881346dba526eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 34c | 1,776$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 60c | 1,088$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.08 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 13c | 617.43$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.86 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc5…38d9backed No | 63c | 530.04$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.76 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f83…6cd9backed Yes | 37c | 300$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…0dfabacked No | 61c | 299.98$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.99 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked No | 61c | 260.17$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.47 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 37c | 136$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc2…8955backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9f…af72backed Yes | 39c | 110.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…3f6bbacked Yes | 40c | 105$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41dc…478dbacked Yes | 14c | 105$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…21f9backed Yes | 36c | 87.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…b289backed Yes | 32c | 77.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x167f…1f51backed Yes | 38c | 65.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Yes | 35c | 50.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f69…f07ebacked Yes | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…af29backed Yes | 37c | 49.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Yes | 39c | 44.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 35c | 39.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…0cf2backed Yes | 39c | 37.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x558c…c433backed Yes | 40c | 37.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 61c | 35.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e66…8cf9backed Yes | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…a12ebacked Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe016…642abacked Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…e30ebacked Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce54…b490backed Yes | 37c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebd…815abacked No | 65c | 27.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bb…24ebbacked No | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tottenham beat Newcastle?this page
- Will Newcastle beat Tottenham?Yes won
- Will Newcastle vs. Tottenham end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.