Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle beat Tottenham?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae59919d3f9c80ec9a6275fea57f1b81122ca0146a8188cc5d41769a0f546f66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,481
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x741e…2f80backed No | 61c | 13,608$8,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,326.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc5…38d9backed Yes | 39c | 10,146$3,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,188.8 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 38c | 3,487$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.55 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…97a0backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 61c | 495.35$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.16 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 39c | 392.79$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.6 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…0dfabacked No | 63c | 269.84$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…1095backed No | 38c | 180.65$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.65 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…3f6bbacked Yes | 56c | 167.38$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed No | 58c | 164.28$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.28 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…e05cbacked No | 52c | 156.37$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.9 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d2…f555backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 182 | 60.4%110 W · 72 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc2…8955backed Yes | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba7…c0edbacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed No | 60c | 87.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.65 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff42…83e5backed No | 61c | 81.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2d…ed5abacked No | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4249…2352backed Yes | 62c | 61.29$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 61c | 53.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…ee3dbacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12e1…51f6backed Yes | 31c | 49.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 58c | 45.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce54…b490backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec9…28a6backed No | 62c | 29.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…54ffbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…bc94backed Yes | 62c | 19.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3675…3cf9backed No | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle beat Tottenham?this page
- Will Newcastle vs. Tottenham end in a draw?No won
- Will Tottenham beat Newcastle?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.