Tennis · resolved market
ITF Ceska Lipa: Lucie Havlickova vs Hibah Shaikh
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ec393cb88caf8e7b3315a979817706c200dbb186a2fc7c44da111e9ea354ac1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lucie Havlickovaof Lucie Havlickova, Hibah Shaikh
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,147
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hibah Shaikh | 21c | 2,957$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.48 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lucie Havlickova | 79c | 639.05$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.27 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Lucie Havlickova | 78c | 509.84$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.16 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Lucie Havlickova | 80c | 445.06$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.18 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lucie Havlickova | 80c | 414.75$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.71 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25e5…2191backed Lucie Havlickova | 73c | 309.94$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.26 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Hibah Shaikh | 27c | 232.81$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lucie Havlickova | 80c | 207.2$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lucie Havlickova | 79c | 200.16$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hibah Shaikh | 26c | 66.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Lucie Havlickova | 73c | 55.29$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Hibah Shaikh | 30c | 50.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Hibah Shaikh | 30c | 44.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Lucie Havlickova | 70c | 44.26$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.