Tennis · resolved market
Bucaramanga: Felix Corwin vs Juan Manuel La Serna
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ed0728bbffd2277c0bda4d2d500da3918ebc8c417f6190b8983d89ab6a501f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Juan Manuel La Sernaof Felix Corwin, Juan Manuel La Serna
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,158 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Felix Corwin | 11c | 917.03$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.38 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…d322backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 77c | 522.61$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.61 | 120 | 66.7%80 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Felix Corwin | 21c | 472.12$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.25 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…ca81backed Felix Corwin | 26c | 348.64$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 217 | 20.3%44 W · 173 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Felix Corwin | 28c | 199.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 586 | 39.6%232 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Felix Corwin | 18c | 170.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 74c | 145$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Felix Corwin | 24c | 142.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Felix Corwin | 27c | 141.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Felix Corwin | 23c | 135.66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 76c | 134.39$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…efbebacked Felix Corwin | 23c | 130.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b0…02c6backed Felix Corwin | 10c | 114.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 80 | 7.5%6 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Felix Corwin | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…add3backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 206 | 70.4%145 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Felix Corwin | 17c | 93.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 70c | 90$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Felix Corwin | 24c | 86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Felix Corwin | 25c | 83.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +9.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 78c | 77.03$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 599 | 65.8%394 W · 205 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 78c | 64.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…145ebacked Felix Corwin | 20c | 62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Felix Corwin | 24c | 60.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 74c | 57.35$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 73c | 56.84$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Felix Corwin | 24c | 54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 524 | 57.4%301 W · 223 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Felix Corwin | 22c | 47.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 78c | 47.02$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Felix Corwin | 23c | 44.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Felix Corwin | 24c | 42.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 74c | 34.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…e8acbacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 79c | 23.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 76c | 19.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 181 | 66.9%121 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 75c | 17.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 341 | 59.5%203 W · 138 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b65…6e1dbacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4913…d01bbacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 68c | 15.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.