Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f1e4428607aadfbc1bc1ef8392b75b23c1885fdb24fed4ca3610e4b2532480a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 25c | 2,286$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.72 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 75c | 1,944$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.05 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +188.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 1cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 41c | 881.45$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.69 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes | 25c | 600$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 75c | 508.32$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.77 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee01…b01fbacked No | 58c | 432.08$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 33c | 298.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.74 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 201.76$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.32 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fc…b1fbbacked Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 146.84$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.66 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 75c | 104$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 225 | 44%99 W · 126 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbf…9318backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 25cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 67c | 92.85$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.21 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8b…276abacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 43c | 68.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 74c | 67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 59c | 62.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 61c | 61.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 66c | 60.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 70c | 57.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 36c | 55.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 35c | 55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb305…a400backed Yes | 26c | 53.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Yes | 35c | 52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 64c | 36.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Fateh Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?No won
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.