CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs EHISTO BASE (BO3) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f212484c50daf22286fe9c3f5e8ed6ff7eb645dc1c7599376436126e6d92f90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof BESTIA, EHISTO BASE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed EHISTO BASE | 19c | 828.67$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.49 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked EHISTO BASE | 21c | 713.79$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.5 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked EHISTO BASE | 20c | 668.85$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.77 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked EHISTO BASE | 20c | 594.88$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.76 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked EHISTO BASE | 17c | 519.95$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.39 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c6…4cf3backed BESTIA | 79c | 454.6$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.06 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked EHISTO BASE | 19c | 300.1$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.02 | 118 | 30.5%36 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed EHISTO BASE | 21c | 255.81$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed EHISTO BASE | 18c | 244.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked EHISTO BASE | 26c | 213.06$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf638…aa50backed BESTIA | 79c | 211$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.31 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6df…1cf4backed EHISTO BASE | 19c | 195.21$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked BESTIA | 77c | 174$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked BESTIA | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed EHISTO BASE | 19c | 94.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed EHISTO BASE | 18c | 80.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked BESTIA | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dde…5e80backed BESTIA | 77c | 68.23$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a01…e6fbbacked BESTIA | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed EHISTO BASE | 23c | 52.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked BESTIA | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed EHISTO BASE | 22c | 45.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked BESTIA | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed BESTIA | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs EHISTO BASE (BO3) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs EHISTO BASE - Map 1 WinnerBESTIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.