NHL · resolved market
Kings vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f6c2fda476856f7c366dd15488d7eb337d412893beb6931edc59d0b12dc1711
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,217
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 8c | 1,762$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.52 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Under | 1c | 1,730$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.7 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…e80cbacked Over | 43c | 189$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c30…0bf3backed Over | 43c | 189$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd4…815cbacked Over | 43c | 186$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe91f…a9aebacked Under | 57c | 180$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +201%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…8223backed Under | 57c | 178$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc290…bc01backed Under | 57c | 177$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2336…a7bbbacked Over | 42c | 170$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…213abacked Over | 43c | 168$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde50…b444backed Over | 42c | 168$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…9624backed Under | 58c | 164$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2038…8617backed Over | 42c | 162$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc286…d565backed Under | 58c | 160$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cb…e673backed Under | 57c | 159$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…8f91backed Over | 43c | 155$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…5a9abacked Under | 58c | 152$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…8b7abacked Under | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 421 | 44.4%187 W · 234 L | -28.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 41c | 27.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…74b0backed Under | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5this page
- Kings vs. CanadiensKings won
- Kings vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Kings won
- Spread: Kings (-1.5)Kings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.