Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Georgia State Panthers vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f85c388a1c2d9560e63e29708fb92bafd6d8db72a9ce894ba2640287ac6a8ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgia State Panthersof Georgia State Panthers, Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 30c | 1,017$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.92 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed Georgia State Panthers | 67c | 873.34$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.4 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Georgia State Panthers | 71c | 635.14$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.18 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 33c | 308.2$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.12 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Georgia State Panthers | 68c | 189.49$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.35 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd098…8c03backed Georgia State Panthers | 70c | 162.67$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Georgia State Panthers | 78c | 144.06$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 31c | 130.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 35c | 118.66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Georgia State Panthers | 69c | 93$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Georgia State Panthers | 61c | 85.69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Georgia State Panthers | 77c | 82.63$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5305…57e8backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1319…494dbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b8…d54cbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 37c | 56.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…5c69backed Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 37c | 56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -12.0wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -64%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 28c | 52.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 29c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Georgia State Panthers | 71c | 44.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Georgia State Panthers | 72c | 25.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Georgia State Panthers vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawksthis page
- Georgia State Panthers vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks: O/U 154.5Under won
- Georgia State Panthers vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks: O/U 155.5Under won
- Georgia State Panthers vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks: O/U 156.5Under won
- Georgia State Panthers vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks: O/U 157.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.