CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Charrados FC vs ALKA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4fb5cac7a20a8c25e43594e0d87c6b11b0ca68fc55c847151a438e3f19db2659
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ALKAof Charrados FC, ALKA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Charrados FC | 42c | 1,570$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.69 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Charrados FC | 51c | 1,373$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.94 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Charrados FC | 48c | 1,241$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.55 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ALKA | 46c | 1,240$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.01 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ALKA | 28c | 1,132$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.25 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed ALKA | 71c | 1,108$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.69 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed ALKA | 37c | 703.03$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.55 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Charrados FC | 42c | 634.33$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.97 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Charrados FC | 58c | 594.42$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.06 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Charrados FC | 34c | 419.78$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.74 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed ALKA | 56c | 332.63$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.78 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Charrados FC | 52c | 308.84$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.48 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…e615backed Charrados FC | 73c | 239.85$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.21 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked ALKA | 40c | 234.43$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.86 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…c953backed Charrados FC | 43c | 179.38$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.46 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Charrados FC | 53c | 173.73$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Charrados FC | 54c | 156.95$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.44 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed ALKA | 38c | 129.55$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.2 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ALKA | 58c | 118.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.57 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed ALKA | 30c | 109.94$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.75 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked Charrados FC | 37c | 104.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…8794backed ALKA | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Charrados FC | 42c | 96.71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ALKA | 49c | 89.72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.55 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Charrados FC | 49c | 89.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Charrados FC | 56c | 86.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed ALKA | 42c | 84.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…5792backed ALKA | 60c | 56.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…6e8bbacked ALKA | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2c…359fbacked Charrados FC | 40c | 49.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Charrados FC | 70c | 47.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Charrados FC | 50c | 47.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Charrados FC | 36c | 34.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 190 | 50%95 W · 95 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked Charrados FC | 59c | 32.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4470…c22ebacked Charrados FC | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa246…c6acbacked Charrados FC | 68c | 25.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed Charrados FC | 50c | 25.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Charrados FC | 61c | 21.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Charrados FC | 48c | 21.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked ALKA | 55c | 21.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Charrados FC vs ALKA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Charrados FC vs ALKA - Map 1 WinnerCharrados FC won
- Counter-Strike: Charrados FC vs ALKA - Map 2 WinnerALKA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.