Tennis · resolved market
ITF Huamantla: Oliver Sanders vs Preston Brown
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50021936be5501e34657a618e5b5adda08eadd8f4f86359ce82030452dc3a428
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Preston Brownof Oliver Sanders, Preston Brown
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7547…d158backed Preston Brown | 48c | 448.16$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.14 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Preston Brown | 48c | 332.51$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.73 | 1,542 | 49.2%759 W · 783 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Oliver Sanders | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Preston Brown | 53c | 315.56$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.78 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Oliver Sanders | 50c | 246.55$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.21 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Preston Brown | 47c | 178.16$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.27 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Oliver Sanders | 59c | 169.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30be…39e3backed Oliver Sanders | 27c | 153$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed Oliver Sanders | 53c | 146.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb5…7608backed Preston Brown | 73c | 144$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Preston Brown | 47c | 136.28$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.23 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfb…5868backed Preston Brown | 73c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…1ec5backed Oliver Sanders | 27c | 111$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Oliver Sanders | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 962 | 55.8%537 W · 425 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Oliver Sanders | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 897 | 54.6%490 W · 407 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Oliver Sanders | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 956 | 55.9%534 W · 422 L | +19.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Oliver Sanders | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Oliver Sanders | 46c | 74.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 401 | 35.7%143 W · 258 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Preston Brown | 55c | 70.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.13 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Preston Brown | 50c | 60.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Oliver Sanders | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Oliver Sanders | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 418 | 51.7%216 W · 202 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Oliver Sanders | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 533 | 56.7%302 W · 231 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Preston Brown | 75c | 55.83$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 1,289 | 65.2%841 W · 448 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…9c5cbacked Preston Brown | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Preston Brown | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 370 | 65.1%241 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Preston Brown | 50c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc9…ab1cbacked Oliver Sanders | 53c | 37.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…4943backed Oliver Sanders | 56c | 35.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Oliver Sanders | 53c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dff…bb1ebacked Preston Brown | 47c | 29.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Oliver Sanders | 53c | 29.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Oliver Sanders | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,036 | 54.2%562 W · 474 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78fb…56bcbacked Oliver Sanders | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.