Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. Charlotte 49ers (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x500d66215aaed629bd4640dc006f86d11f08302f6dbd28fa27a955b15d74c484
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida Atlantic Owlsof Florida Atlantic Owls, Charlotte 49ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,146
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,146 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Charlotte 49ers | 12c | 1,547$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.77 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Charlotte 49ers | 27c | 443.01$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.9 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…c3f8backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 46c | 390$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.22 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 76c | 158.24$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Charlotte 49ers | 40c | 105.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.35 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 62c | 66$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 60c | 50.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Charlotte 49ers | 46c | 47.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Charlotte 49ers | 43c | 42.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Charlotte 49ers | 44c | 42.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…26f2backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3457…0161backed Florida Atlantic Owls | 79c | 36.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 67c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Charlotte 49ers | 36c | 30.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…983fbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 63c | 19.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 60c | 17.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e26…ec6ebacked Florida Atlantic Owls | 76c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.