Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5049b7fb17a7bb454df7a0e2e8f1e9c8a5de936e4ec48387eb2f8bc0bffd1f10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 72c | 2,974$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.35 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 71c | 999.84$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.95 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 30c | 899.99$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Under | 73c | 827.42$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.44 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 28c | 760.85$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.3 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Over | 28c | 642.89$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.74 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 34c | 561.77$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 30c | 515.9$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.95 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Over | 28c | 487.83$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.39 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Over | 26c | 466.32$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.05 | 291 | 43.3%126 W · 165 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e6…59dbbacked Over | 26c | 415.3$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.69 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 27c | 315.21$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.25 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Over | 26c | 211.61$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…86b4backed Under | 73c | 191.53$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd7…55f5backed Over | 33c | 138.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2310…74d5backed Over | 25c | 136.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Under | 75c | 133$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 172 | 41.9%72 W · 100 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 29c | 105.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 71c | 105$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 415 | 44.6%185 W · 230 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 75c | 81$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Over | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…1a5bbacked Under | 66c | 58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Under | 73c | 47.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Under | 73c | 46.87$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 73c | 42.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Under | 72c | 19.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: BOOM (-1.5) vs Lodis (+1.5)BOMBA Team won
- LoL: Lodis vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular SeasonBOMBA Team won
- LoL: Lodis vs BOMBA Team - Game 1 WinnerBOMBA Team won
- LoL: Lodis vs BOMBA Team - Game 2 WinnerBOMBA Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.